Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1150.612766 1313.107775 1496.261200 1719.151400 1984.624710 2292.626208 2679.819461
2025-06-01 907.744807 1117.186223 1376.853654 1727.170109 2194.762134 2808.107227 3691.813974
2025-06-08 776.407258 1000.229214 1294.472713 1718.297239 2327.991277 3197.610823 4578.582706
2025-06-15 698.771830 934.661294 1260.246376 1756.069906 2517.469284 3688.255123 5723.454572
2025-06-22 613.254151 843.716640 1173.763540 1698.447050 2546.697974 3932.630375 6530.181826
2025-06-29 547.403087 771.440103 1102.620316 1649.218199 2574.191247 4170.911739 7380.758811
2025-07-06 491.347980 706.721584 1033.841112 1591.553351 2574.004393 4355.568675 8174.986273
2025-07-13 469.310780 690.778640 1037.687315 1651.691220 2785.357272 4965.558128 10022.768796
2025-07-20 442.187993 663.705121 1019.936956 1671.162224 2924.186918 5464.059027 11798.503765
2025-07-27 420.923239 643.704559 1011.144884 1704.330203 3093.522837 6062.350811 14042.325934
2025-08-03 400.459648 622.925925 998.447773 1727.835668 3246.587949 6660.768546 16538.672199
2025-08-10 387.687025 613.776607 1004.728271 1787.738151 3486.065077 7519.772773 20190.720421
2025-08-17 369.921165 595.376727 994.170330 1816.516067 3671.738349 8322.737553 24201.527625
2025-08-24 349.805337 571.282366 971.032099 1817.270095 3796.150965 9012.517975 28298.075081
2025-08-31 330.712849 547.302423 945.492598 1809.022648 3896.939346 9668.625211 32728.677105
2025-09-07 318.992546 535.749434 942.538267 1849.094352 4126.405376 10779.813265 39957.259720
2025-09-14 297.304934 503.961523 896.853539 1787.714282 4081.115690 11027.592822 43451.891649
2025-09-21 278.508185 476.321646 857.140553 1735.271007 4050.887245 11320.399803 47472.728790
2025-09-28 260.427801 448.863211 815.613487 1673.876655 3985.727783 11479.834781 50973.178279
2025-10-05 255.717849 446.864759 826.226493 1737.905282 4290.458980 13069.851915 64735.520760
2025-10-12 247.328056 437.017447 819.462990 1758.643624 4473.331845 14286.661314 77864.477085
2025-10-19 240.712762 430.212727 818.555606 1793.978805 4709.842246 15829.167475 96008.461209
2025-10-26 233.656151 422.012766 813.871190 1819.026448 4920.475563 17369.856448 117241.824036